Dubai True Pricing

Weekly update, 8 November 2026

16,350 resale listings valued against 4,228 registered sales. The median asks +10.9% over what buyers paid in the same buildings.

Registry through 5 November 2026. Listings collected 8 November 2026.

The useful number is not the median. It is that 19 out of every 100 listings ask 30% or more above what their own building registers, while 17 out of every 100 ask at or below it. Both live in every area at the same time: opening prices that have been up for months, and prices that sell this week.

By area

AreaListingsMedian premiumMiddle halfAt +30% or moreAt or below paidMonths of stock
Palm Jumeirah1,074+18.5%+0.6% to +51.0%39%17%26
Damac Hills533+13.8%+5.6% to +25.6%20%5%25
Dubai Marina2,241+12.7%-0.6% to +29.8%25%19%12
Downtown Dubai2,408+11.6%-1.6% to +25.1%19%20%19
Jumeirah Lake Towers (JLT)777+10.8%+1.8% to +22.1%16%11%15
Al Furjan1,026+10.2%-1.2% to +30.4%25%20%10
Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)3,718+10.1%+1.0% to +21.6%15%15%13
Business Bay2,616+9.4%-1.4% to +22.7%17%19%13
Dubai Hills Estate1,110+8.9%+1.8% to +18.9%13%11%14
Arjan847+8.3%-0.0% to +16.1%7%13%14

Asking prices run highest in Palm Jumeirah (+18.5% median, 39% of listings at 30% or more over their building) and lowest in Arjan (+8.3%). Time confirms it: listings published in the last month ask +11.9% over their own building, those published more than three months ago ask +16.0%. What does not sell is what asks too much.

Where the supply is piling up

Palm Jumeirah has the deepest supply at 26 months of stock; Al Furjan the tightest at 10. Below eight months the seller sets the price; above eighteen the buyer does.

Buildings with at least ten live resale listings, ranked by months of stock. A tower with forty listings and three sales a quarter is a tower where a buyer can negotiate.
BuildingAreaLive listingsSales in 3 monthsMonths of stock
Opera GrandDowntown Dubai57357
Uptown TowerJumeirah Lake Towers (JLT)53353
UPSIDE LivingBusiness Bay52352
Upper CrestDowntown Dubai39339
Tower 108Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)38338
Princess TowerDubai Marina77733
Marquise Square TowerBusiness Bay32332
Ocean HeightsDubai Marina53532
Elite Downtown Residence 1Downtown Dubai42432
Vida Residences Dubai MarinaDubai Marina42432

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