Dubai True Pricing

Weekly update, 18 October 2026

16,747 resale listings valued against 4,224 registered sales. The median asks +11.0% over what buyers paid in the same buildings.

Registry through 15 October 2026. Listings collected 18 October 2026.

The useful number is not the median. It is that 19 out of every 100 listings ask 30% or more above what their own building registers, while 16 out of every 100 ask at or below it. Both live in every area at the same time: opening prices that have been up for months, and prices that sell this week.

By area

AreaListingsMedian premiumMiddle halfAt +30% or moreAt or below paidMonths of stock
Palm Jumeirah1,093+20.2%+2.6% to +48.8%38%16%32
Damac Hills517+16.1%+6.8% to +25.7%19%6%28
Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)3,936+11.7%+1.9% to +23.6%17%14%13
Downtown Dubai2,290+11.0%-1.5% to +25.4%20%19%18
Dubai Marina2,393+10.8%-2.7% to +26.7%22%21%11
Jumeirah Lake Towers (JLT)836+10.7%+0.7% to +22.1%17%13%16
Dubai Hills Estate1,115+10.0%+2.7% to +19.0%12%9%16
Business Bay2,740+9.7%-0.6% to +22.7%17%17%16
Al Furjan968+8.9%-1.4% to +25.0%22%21%10
Arjan859+8.6%+1.6% to +17.1%7%12%15

Asking prices run highest in Palm Jumeirah (+20.2% median, 38% of listings at 30% or more over their building) and lowest in Arjan (+8.6%). Time confirms it: listings published in the last month ask +11.8% over their own building, those published more than three months ago ask +16.1%. What does not sell is what asks too much.

Where the supply is piling up

Palm Jumeirah has the deepest supply at 32 months of stock; Al Furjan the tightest at 10. Below eight months the seller sets the price; above eighteen the buyer does.

Buildings with at least ten live resale listings, ranked by months of stock. A tower with forty listings and three sales a quarter is a tower where a buyer can negotiate.
BuildingAreaLive listingsSales in 3 monthsMonths of stock
Elite ResidenceDubai Marina99399
Opera GrandDowntown Dubai63447
Uptown TowerJumeirah Lake Towers (JLT)56442
The Palm TowerPalm Jumeirah56442
Tower 108Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)41341
Gemz by DanubeAl Furjan40340
Five Palm JumeirahPalm Jumeirah61537
Botanica TowerDubai Marina47435
Royal RegencyBusiness Bay35335
West Five Business Bay ResidencesBusiness Bay35335

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