Dubai True Pricing

Weekly update, 20 September 2026

15,416 resale listings valued against 4,246 registered sales. The median asks +10.6% over what buyers paid in the same buildings.

Registry through 17 September 2026. Listings collected 20 September 2026.

The useful number is not the median. It is that 19 out of every 100 listings ask 30% or more above what their own building registers, while 17 out of every 100 ask at or below it. Both live in every area at the same time: opening prices that have been up for months, and prices that sell this week.

By area

AreaListingsMedian premiumMiddle halfAt +30% or moreAt or below paidMonths of stock
Damac Hills454+18.1%+8.5% to +31.0%26%4%23
Palm Jumeirah940+15.9%+1.1% to +43.2%35%16%29
Downtown Dubai2,040+12.0%-1.1% to +24.6%20%19%17
Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)3,620+11.1%+1.9% to +23.5%18%14%12
Jumeirah Lake Towers (JLT)787+10.5%+0.6% to +23.2%17%14%14
Dubai Marina2,241+10.0%-2.9% to +26.5%21%22%10
Dubai Hills Estate1,044+10.0%+2.6% to +19.5%13%9%14
Al Furjan1,025+8.9%-3.2% to +26.5%23%22%10
Business Bay2,468+8.6%-1.9% to +21.3%16%19%16
Arjan797+7.9%+1.7% to +16.7%5%11%14

Asking prices run highest in Damac Hills (+18.1% median, 26% of listings at 30% or more over their building) and lowest in Arjan (+7.9%). Time confirms it: listings published in the last month ask +10.7% over their own building, those published more than three months ago ask +16.2%. What does not sell is what asks too much.

Where the supply is piling up

Palm Jumeirah has the deepest supply at 29 months of stock; Al Furjan the tightest at 10. Below eight months the seller sets the price; above eighteen the buyer does.

Buildings with at least ten live resale listings, ranked by months of stock. A tower with forty listings and three sales a quarter is a tower where a buyer can negotiate.
BuildingAreaLive listingsSales in 3 monthsMonths of stock
Elite ResidenceDubai Marina103744
Amaris ResidencesJumeirah Village Circle (JVC)42342
The Palm TowerPalm Jumeirah55441
Five Palm JumeirahPalm Jumeirah41341
Elite Downtown Residence 1Downtown Dubai38338
Gemz by DanubeAl Furjan37337
Zada TowerBusiness Bay60536
Azizi PlazaAl Furjan34334
Marina Arcade TowerDubai Marina33333
Paramount Tower Hotel & ResidencesBusiness Bay32332

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