Dubai True Pricing

Weekly update, 9 September 2026

18,215 resale listings valued against 4,291 registered sales. The median asks +11.1% over what buyers paid in the same buildings.

Registry through 7 September 2026. Listings collected 9 September 2026.

The useful number is not the median. It is that 19 out of every 100 listings ask 30% or more above what their own building registers, while 16 out of every 100 ask at or below it. Both live in every area at the same time: opening prices that have been up for months, and prices that sell this week.

By area

AreaListingsMedian premiumMiddle halfAt +30% or moreAt or below paidMonths of stock
Palm Jumeirah1,142+18.4%+0.5% to +46.0%38%17%33
Damac Hills616+17.1%+7.4% to +29.3%24%5%32
Downtown Dubai2,402+13.2%+1.5% to +27.0%22%16%20
Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)4,342+11.6%+2.0% to +23.7%17%14%16
Dubai Marina2,485+10.9%-2.1% to +27.1%22%20%11
Dubai Hills Estate1,200+10.6%+3.5% to +20.8%16%10%16
Jumeirah Lake Towers (JLT)932+9.9%+0.3% to +19.6%11%14%17
Business Bay2,943+9.0%-2.4% to +22.2%16%20%19
Arjan982+8.5%+1.2% to +16.9%6%12%16
Al Furjan1,171+8.4%-2.1% to +25.0%22%22%11

Asking prices run highest in Palm Jumeirah (+18.4% median, 38% of listings at 30% or more over their building) and lowest in Al Furjan (+8.4%). Time confirms it: listings published in the last month ask +11.5% over their own building, those published more than three months ago ask +17.2%. What does not sell is what asks too much.

Where the supply is piling up

Palm Jumeirah has the deepest supply at 33 months of stock; Al Furjan the tightest at 11. Below eight months the seller sets the price; above eighteen the buyer does.

Buildings with at least ten live resale listings, ranked by months of stock. A tower with forty listings and three sales a quarter is a tower where a buyer can negotiate.
BuildingAreaLive listingsSales in 3 monthsMonths of stock
Hameni TowerJumeirah Village Circle (JVC)65449
Reva ResidencesBusiness Bay47347
Atlantis The Royal ResidencesPalm Jumeirah44344
The Palm TowerPalm Jumeirah72543
Orra The Embankment Tower 1Jumeirah Lake Towers (JLT)41341
Binghatti NovaJumeirah Village Circle (JVC)40340
Studio OneDubai Marina51438
Marina Arcade TowerDubai Marina36336
Amaris ResidencesJumeirah Village Circle (JVC)47435
Jumeirah Living Business BayBusiness Bay34334

Get the weekly update

Which buildings are overpriced, which ones are selling at registry prices. Free, one email a week.

Confirmation by email (double opt-in). No listings for sale, no commissions, no agents calling. Unsubscribe any time.

All weekly updates · Methodology · Home